Samford
Southern · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#51
+3.4 pts · likely #29–72
Strength of schedule
32.6
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
38.8
#6
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
41.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at West Georgia | L 29-38 | −4.4 | +2.2 | 0.225 | 3 | −10.0 |
| 3 | vs Alabama State | W 12-7 | −1.0 | −2.2 | 0.203 | 3 | +2.6 |
| 6 | vs VMI | W 27-3 | −14.8 | −2.2 | 0.039 | 4 | +7.3 |
| 7 | at East Tennessee State | L 28-31 | +8.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Western Carolina · p 0.411
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at FloridaFBS · L 7-45