Mercer
Southern · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#10
+12.5 pts · likely #6–32
Strength of schedule
25.9
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
25.1
#46
Record SOS
0.465
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
50.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −9.7 | −2.2 | 0.078 | 4 | +23.3 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −11.1 | +2.2 | 0.113 | 3 | +20.6 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +11.1 | +2.2 | 0.617 | 1 | +18.8 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −4.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.135
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.442
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.930
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 12: at AlabamaFBS · L 7-52