Towson
CAA · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#46
+4.4 pts · likely #26–68
Strength of schedule
44.1
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
31.6
#21
Record SOS
0.602
Opp. 67.1% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
14.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −4.2 | −2.4 | 0.144 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 3 | at Villanova | L 13-14 | +11.8 | +2.4 | 0.640 | 1 | +12.5 |
| 4 | at North Dakota State | L 24-41 | +27.6 | +2.4 | 0.924 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 6 | vs William & Mary | W 34-27 | +8.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.034
- Wk 13: at Campbell · p 0.249
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38