Stony Brook
CAA · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#41
+6.1 pts · likely #21–61
Strength of schedule
26.9
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
24.7
#47
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 43.1% · Opp. opp. 53.1%
Remaining SOS
50.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
5-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | W 37-10 | −16.3 | −2.4 | 0.030 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 3 | at Fordham | W 27-21 | −8.1 | +2.4 | 0.159 | 3 | +2.3 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 24-17 | −3.5 | +2.4 | 0.249 | 3 | +6.0 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 22-3 | −2.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at New Hampshire · p 0.614
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.392
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45