Georgetown
Patriot · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#102
−7.7 pts · likely #77–114
Strength of schedule
17.8
#117 of 129
Strength of victory
19.1
#67
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 43.4%
Remaining SOS
29.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Georgetown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 46-24 | −8.5 | −2.4 | 0.087 | 4 | +9.7 |
| 2 | at Marist | W 31-10 | −24.8 | +2.4 | 0.017 | 4 | −0.5 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | L 14-40 | −14.4 | +2.4 | 0.077 | 4 | −34.9 |
| 4 | vs Brown | L 14-26 | −4.8 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.170
- Wk 13: vs Holy Cross · p 0.429