Brown
Ivy · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#83
−3.8 pts · likely #60–104
Strength of schedule
32.6
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
30.7
#26
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
42.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Georgetown | W 26-14 | −6.4 | +2.4 | 0.190 | 3 | +6.9 |
| 5 | vs Harvard | W 31-28 | +13.9 | −2.4 | 0.567 | 1 | +13.1 |
| 6 | vs Bryant | L 35-42 | −8.9 | −2.4 | 0.084 | 4 | −16.1 |
| 7 | at Rhode Island | L 21-31 | +10.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Columbia · p 0.307
- Wk 13: at Dartmouth · p 0.536