Lamar
Southland · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#74
−1.6 pts · likely #48–96
Strength of schedule
24.3
#93 of 129
Strength of victory
11.7
#79
Record SOS
0.402
Opp. 36.5% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
41.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lamar. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 28-14 | −25.4 | −2.5 | 0.006 | 4 | −11.9 |
| 3 | vs Weber State | W 17-16 | +5.4 | −2.5 | 0.339 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 4 | vs Texas Southern | W 20-17 | −7.2 | −2.5 | 0.103 | 3 | −5.9 |
| 5 | at Central Arkansas | L 14-34 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Incarnate Word · p 0.682
- Wk 12: vs Nicholls State · p 0.208
- Wk 13: at McNeese · p 0.368
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas StateFBS · L 27-34