Central Arkansas
UAC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#36
+7.1 pts · likely #15–55
Strength of schedule
22.8
#103 of 129
Strength of victory
20.6
#57
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
53.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lindenwood | W 34-13 | −3.8 | +2.5 | 0.242 | 3 | +17.5 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-17 | +5.3 | −2.5 | 0.338 | 2 | +29.4 |
| 4 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 56-17 | −15.9 | +2.5 | 0.064 | 4 | +20.4 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | W 34-14 | −0.9 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.522
- Wk 12: vs Southern Utah · p 0.449
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.622
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34