Central Connecticut State
NEC · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−11.3 pts · likely #87–120
Strength of schedule
14.9
#125 of 128
Strength of victory
6.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.405
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 43.8%
Remaining SOS
18.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | L 30-33 | −12.7 | −2.5 | 0.050 | 4 | −17.0 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 20-42 | −0.1 | +2.5 | 0.328 | 2 | −19.2 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 51-44 | −18.7 | −2.5 | 0.020 | 4 | −13.0 |
| 7 | at Duquesne | L 20-44 | −0.1 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Sacred Heart · p 0.097
- Wk 11: at Merrimack · p 0.296
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.171
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs American InternationalDII · W 44-0
- Wk 3: at Kent StateFBS · L 10-38