Tennessee State
OVC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#64
−0.1 pts · likely #40–91
Strength of schedule
27.4
#87 of 128
Strength of victory
18.9
#55
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
18.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −20.6 | 0.0 | 0.022 | 4 | −9.1 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +2.5 | −2.4 | 0.275 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +10.9 | +2.4 | 0.615 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Lindenwood · p 0.067
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.210
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.354
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.090
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56
- Wk 8: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 54-0