Gardner-Webb
OVC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#59
+1.7 pts · likely #34–83
Strength of schedule
35.6
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
28.4
#32
Record SOS
0.607
Opp. 64.3% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
31.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Elon | W 34-27 | +8.2 | −2.4 | 0.415 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 3 | at Tennessee State | L 25-27 | −0.3 | +2.4 | 0.320 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 31-16 | −13.7 | −2.4 | 0.045 | 4 | −1.3 |
| 7 | at Austin Peay | L 14-41 | +10.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs UT Martin · p 0.477
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.289
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.130
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.520
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 24-45
- Wk 4: at East CarolinaFBS · L 0-44