North Carolina Central
MEAC · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#23
+11.1 pts · likely #7–47
Strength of schedule
28.7
#84 of 128
Strength of victory
28.7
#31
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 64.0%
Remaining SOS
18.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −6.1 | +2.4 | 0.193 | 3 | +10.4 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −10.6 | 0.0 | 0.092 | 4 | +22.8 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +6.7 | −2.4 | 0.378 | 2 | +5.7 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.087
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.156
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.278
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.016
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.393
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59