Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−12.2 pts · likely #88–124
Strength of schedule
31.4
#67 of 128
Strength of victory
3.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 61.3% · Opp. opp. 46.3%
Remaining SOS
24.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 3-45 | +9.5 | 0.0 | 0.515 | 1 | −23.9 |
| 5 | vs Florida A&M | L 7-31 | +10.7 | −2.4 | 0.483 | 2 | −15.8 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | L 12-31 | −10.8 | +2.4 | 0.118 | 3 | −25.0 |
| 7 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 42-17 | −15.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Alcorn State · p 0.248
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.210
- Wk 11: vs Alabama State · p 0.243
- Wk 12: at Alabama A&M · p 0.258
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) Central State (OH)DII · L 21-24
- Wk 3: at Delta StateDII · L 7-35