Drake
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#82
−4.0 pts · likely #58–104
Strength of schedule
31.8
#64 of 128
Strength of victory
10.1
#72
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 47.8% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
23.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 7-55 | +11.0 | +2.4 | 0.618 | 1 | −20.5 |
| 3 | vs (N) South Dakota State | L 7-70 | +26.9 | 0.0 | 0.889 | 1 | −8.1 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | W 16-9 | −12.4 | +2.4 | 0.098 | 4 | −3.1 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 20-14 | −14.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stetson · p 0.027
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.078
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.254
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.782
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · L 24-27