Tennessee State
OVC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 62% of the time
Power
#62
+0.9 pts · likely #35–88
Strength of schedule
32.1
#57 of 128
Strength of victory
22.7
#29
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
16.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −15.1 | 0.0 | 0.051 | 4 | −3.9 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +6.1 | −2.7 | 0.352 | 2 | +3.9 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +10.1 | +2.7 | 0.603 | 1 | +1.9 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Norfolk State · p 0.171
- Wk 9: vs Lindenwood · p 0.065
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.202
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.340
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.058
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56