Gardner-Webb
OVC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#43
+4.7 pts · likely #21–76
Strength of schedule
29.7
#70 of 128
Strength of victory
27.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.562
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
36.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Elon | W 34-27 | +11.5 | −2.7 | 0.494 | 2 | +13.8 |
| 3 | at Tennessee State | L 25-27 | +0.2 | +2.7 | 0.341 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 31-16 | −11.8 | −2.7 | 0.055 | 4 | +0.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Austin Peay · p 0.611
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.388
- Wk 9: vs UT Martin · p 0.450
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.306
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.114
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.115
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.601
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 24-45
- Wk 4: at East CarolinaFBS · L 0-44