Nicholls State
Southland · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#60
+1.4 pts · likely #31–87
Strength of schedule
22.7
#102 of 128
Strength of victory
9.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.406
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
39.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | L 24-38 | +11.6 | −2.7 | 0.497 | 2 | −4.1 |
| 5 | at McNeese | W 31-10 | −12.9 | +2.7 | 0.097 | 4 | +9.4 |
| 6 | vs Houston Christian | W 38-7 | −8.4 | −2.7 | 0.086 | 4 | +16.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at East Texas A&M · p 0.165
- Wk 9: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.493
- Wk 10: at Incarnate Word · p 0.721
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.080
- Wk 12: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.318
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.613
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 6-41
- Wk 4: at TulaneFBS · L 7-36