Houston Christian
Southland · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#114
−12.0 pts · likely #86–124
Strength of schedule
34.3
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
48.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
22.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Houston Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | L 7-66 | +7.8 | +2.7 | 0.542 | 1 | −23.1 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 34-19 | +5.8 | +2.7 | 0.488 | 2 | +17.5 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | L 19-21 | −9.5 | −2.7 | 0.075 | 4 | −13.6 |
| 6 | at Nicholls State | L 7-38 | −2.9 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.127
- Wk 9: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.090
- Wk 11: at McNeese · p 0.080
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.586
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Arkansas BaptistNon-NCAA · W 66-0
- Wk 2: at Western KentuckyFBS · L 22-52