Towson
CAA · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#57
+0.8 pts · likely #41–82
Strength of schedule
46.0
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
42.4
#4
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 56.5% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +6.1 | −2.5 | 0.357 | 2 | −15.3 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −2.3 | +2.5 | 0.276 | 2 | +8.9 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −8.9 | −2.5 | 0.083 | 4 | −17.8 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +14.4 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38