North Dakota State
MVFC · 11-3 vs FCS · 11-3 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 2.7% of the time
Power
#2
+21.8 pts · likely #2–6
Strength of schedule
46.2
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
40.6
#5
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 59.6% · Opp. opp. 56.0%
Remaining SOS
82.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (14)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +2.3 | 0.0 | 0.325 | 2 | +25.5 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −3.7 | −2.5 | 0.151 | 3 | +28.4 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +11.1 | −2.5 | 0.491 | 2 | +24.6 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | L 19-24 | +12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.823