Merrimack
NEC · 4-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#72
−2.3 pts · likely #52–95
Strength of schedule
18.9
#117 of 128
Strength of victory
10.3
#93
Record SOS
0.421
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +14.3 | +2.5 | 0.703 | 1 | −6.6 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −8.7 | 0.0 | 0.115 | 3 | −10.7 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −18.6 | +2.5 | 0.044 | 4 | −17.2 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-7 | −12.2 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0
- Wk 10: at MassachusettsFBS · L 21-31