Idaho State
Big Sky · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#90
−6.2 pts · likely #67–110
Strength of schedule
44.5
#16 of 128
Strength of victory
26.3
#45
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-41 | +6.9 | −2.5 | 0.377 | 2 | −18.9 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 35-21 | −10.4 | −2.5 | 0.068 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 20-28 | +21.7 | +2.5 | 0.849 | 1 | +15.1 |
| 7 | vs Eastern Washington | W 42-41 | +2.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 28-36
- Wk 2: at Utah StateFBS · L 28-78