Villanova
CAA · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 3.0% of the time
Power
#2
+19.5 pts · likely #2–11
Strength of schedule
38.7
#33 of 128
Strength of victory
35.2
#10
Record SOS
0.543
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
72.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −8.0 | +2.4 | 0.161 | 3 | +21.7 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −0.9 | −2.4 | 0.202 | 3 | +19.9 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +6.5 | −2.4 | 0.371 | 2 | +28.9 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +14.1 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.502
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.949
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48