UAlbany
CAA · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 4.2% of the time
Power
#7
+15.5 pts · likely #4–21
Strength of schedule
38.3
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
35.4
#9
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
68.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | W 34-13 | +4.6 | −2.4 | 0.323 | 2 | +22.2 |
| 4 | at Morgan State | W 23-17 OT | −4.6 | +2.4 | 0.224 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 5 | vs Villanova | W 31-10 | +21.8 | −2.4 | 0.761 | 1 | +38.1 |
| 6 | at Towson | W 24-17 | +0.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.390
- Wk 15: at Idaho · p 0.715
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.949
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at Hawai'iFBS · L 20-31