Southern
SWAC · 4-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#72
−2.5 pts · likely #53–98
Strength of schedule
22.5
#103 of 128
Strength of victory
12.9
#84
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
21.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Alabama State | L 10-14 | +1.1 | +2.4 | 0.354 | 2 | −0.3 |
| 2 | vs Jackson State | L 14-27 | +4.2 | −2.4 | 0.313 | 2 | −10.1 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | W 20-10 | −7.0 | −2.4 | 0.106 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 5 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 27-0 | −20.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.212
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 45-18