Alabama State
SWAC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#56
+1.3 pts · likely #38–80
Strength of schedule
24.2
#94 of 128
Strength of victory
20.3
#60
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 54.6% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | W 14-10 | −3.0 | −2.4 | 0.165 | 3 | −0.9 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 10-23 | +11.7 | +2.4 | 0.637 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | L 20-23 OT | −3.7 | −2.4 | 0.153 | 3 | −7.1 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 19-14 | −5.8 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · L 17-21