Tarleton State
UAC · 6-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#17
+10.8 pts · likely #7–41
Strength of schedule
31.8
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
27.5
#38
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
40.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −11.9 | +2.6 | 0.106 | 3 | +9.3 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −1.6 | −2.6 | 0.187 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | −2.0 | +2.6 | 0.283 | 2 | +3.7 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +8.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Abilene Christian · p 0.401
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13