Central Arkansas
UAC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#22
+9.9 pts · likely #9–45
Strength of schedule
45.4
#8 of 128
Strength of victory
39.1
#5
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 57.0% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
49.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 31-49 | +16.6 | +2.6 | 0.755 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 4 | vs Abilene Christian | W 52-17 | +5.6 | −2.6 | 0.343 | 2 | +34.7 |
| 5 | at Southern Utah | W 29-27 | +10.2 | +2.6 | 0.600 | 1 | +14.1 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 38-33 | +9.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.349
- Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.649
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 13-27
- Wk 2: vs Texas CollegeNon-NCAA · W 70-2