Marist
Pioneer · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#102
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−15.3 pts · likely #105–125
Strength of schedule
14.7
#125 of 128
Strength of victory
6.1
#91
Record SOS
0.428
Opp. 40.9% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
6.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 7-49 | −7.0 | +2.6 | 0.180 | 3 | −37.7 |
| 3 | vs Davidson | L 21-49 | +0.5 | −2.6 | 0.227 | 3 | −27.9 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 36-30 OT | −11.6 | +2.6 | 0.110 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −17.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.033
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.105