Drake
Pioneer · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#75
−2.9 pts · likely #56–98
Strength of schedule
25.1
#94 of 128
Strength of victory
8.5
#88
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
37.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
5-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 7-55 | +9.3 | +2.6 | 0.577 | 1 | −22.6 |
| 3 | vs (N) South Dakota State | L 7-70 | +29.7 | 0.0 | 0.921 | 1 | −5.8 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | W 16-9 | −14.6 | +2.6 | 0.076 | 4 | −4.8 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 20-14 | −13.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.327
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.776
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · L 24-27