Towson
CAA · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#93
−5.7 pts · likely #67–115
Strength of schedule
38.1
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
10.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.567
Opp. 59.2% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
28.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −10.8 | +1.4 | 0.106 | 3 | −7.6 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −7.8 | −1.4 | 0.108 | 3 | −2.3 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +6.3 | −1.4 | 0.391 | 2 | −16.7 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +14.5 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.454
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.405
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.136
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.138
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65