Elon
CAA · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#38
+5.9 pts · likely #18–63
Strength of schedule
40.5
#13 of 130
Strength of victory
38.5
#1
Record SOS
0.649
Opp. 70.0% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
37.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Wofford | W 26-0 | −4.2 | +1.4 | 0.212 | 3 | +21.5 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 30-24 | +2.6 | −1.4 | 0.298 | 2 | +7.5 |
| 4 | at William & Mary | W 35-31 | +13.5 | +1.4 | 0.656 | 1 | +16.2 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | W 30-27 OT | +14.5 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.585
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.268
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.183
- Wk 13: at Furman · p 0.478
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 31-42