Villanova
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#28
+7.2 pts · likely #12–58
Strength of schedule
32.1
#49 of 130
Strength of victory
22.2
#36
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
35.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lehigh | W 45-17 | −7.3 | −1.7 | 0.111 | 3 | +18.0 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 38-21 | −6.2 | +1.7 | 0.180 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | L 42-49 | +4.7 | −1.7 | 0.343 | 2 | −3.0 |
| 5 | at Maine | W 45-20 | +2.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs UAlbany · p 0.249
- Wk 9: vs Hampton · p 0.163
- Wk 10: at Towson · p 0.207
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.597
- Wk 12: vs Delaware · p 0.562
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArmyFBS · L 10-49