Monmouth
CAA · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#35
+5.7 pts · likely #17–63
Strength of schedule
29.8
#66 of 130
Strength of victory
27.1
#22
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 46.6%
Remaining SOS
31.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | +4.2 | +1.7 | 0.418 | 2 | −3.0 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +5.9 | −1.7 | 0.373 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | −8.8 | −1.7 | 0.093 | 4 | +22.0 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 49-42 | +9.8 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.400
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.147
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.651
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.079