Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#93
−5.0 pts · likely #60–116
Strength of schedule
24.2
#98 of 130
Strength of victory
9.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 57.0% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
34.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Chattanooga | L 20-38 | +11.7 | −1.7 | 0.528 | 1 | −8.3 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 7-35 | +1.4 | +1.7 | 0.344 | 2 | −22.2 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 35-21 | −15.3 | +1.7 | 0.063 | 4 | −0.3 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 35-27 | −6.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Tennessee State · p 0.426
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.179
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.146
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.466
- Wk 12: at UT Martin · p 0.511
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 27-34