Western Carolina
Southern · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#60
+0.8 pts · likely #31–91
Strength of schedule
31.4
#54 of 130
Strength of victory
13.4
#45
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 43.4%
Remaining SOS
33.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 52-38 | −2.8 | +1.9 | 0.250 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 77-21 | −15.5 | −1.9 | 0.037 | 4 | +16.0 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 12-35 | +4.8 | +1.9 | 0.439 | 2 | −13.8 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-17 | −6.9 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Furman · p 0.446
- Wk 8: vs The Citadel · p 0.200
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.095
- Wk 11: at East Tennessee State · p 0.410
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.514
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 17-35