Samford
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#26
+7.3 pts · likely #9–59
Strength of schedule
27.7
#73 of 130
Strength of victory
27.7
#12
Record SOS
0.574
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 62.1%
Remaining SOS
45.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-17 | −0.2 | −1.9 | 0.227 | 3 | +7.8 |
| 3 | at Tennessee Tech | W 33-28 | −2.0 | +1.9 | 0.268 | 2 | +5.3 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 35-12 | +4.0 | −1.9 | 0.319 | 2 | +21.9 |
| 5 | at Furman | W 34-27 | +6.6 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at East Tennessee State · p 0.410
- Wk 9: at The Citadel · p 0.280
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.089
- Wk 11: at Chattanooga · p 0.615
- Wk 12: vs Mercer · p 0.710
- Wk 14: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.454
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.632
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 0-33