Villanova
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#19
+8.7 pts · likely #7–53
Strength of schedule
26.8
#77 of 130
Strength of victory
22.8
#29
Record SOS
0.392
Opp. 32.5% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
39.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lehigh | W 45-17 | −7.0 | −1.9 | 0.112 | 3 | +17.8 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 38-21 | −1.5 | +1.9 | 0.280 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | L 42-49 | +6.7 | −1.9 | 0.388 | 2 | −0.8 |
| 5 | at Maine | W 45-20 | −0.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Richmond · p 0.603
- Wk 8: vs UAlbany · p 0.270
- Wk 9: vs Hampton · p 0.141
- Wk 10: at Towson · p 0.220
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.601
- Wk 12: vs Delaware · p 0.534
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArmyFBS · L 10-49