Monmouth
CAA · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#24
+8.1 pts · likely #9–54
Strength of schedule
30.8
#56 of 130
Strength of victory
28.8
#10
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 58.1% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
29.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | +1.8 | +1.9 | 0.359 | 2 | −4.6 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +4.7 | −1.9 | 0.337 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | −8.3 | −1.9 | 0.096 | 4 | +22.3 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 49-42 | +11.3 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Maine · p 0.215
- Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.368
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.152
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.634
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.094