Towson
CAA · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#91
−4.4 pts · likely #57–114
Strength of schedule
36.0
#29 of 130
Strength of victory
17.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
35.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −10.4 | +1.9 | 0.117 | 3 | −6.8 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −0.2 | −1.9 | 0.225 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +0.9 | −1.9 | 0.248 | 3 | −21.4 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +12.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs William & Mary · p 0.500
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.532
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.454
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.144
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65