Morgan State
MEAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#75
−2.4 pts · likely #41–109
Strength of schedule
16.6
#123 of 130
Strength of victory
22.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.365
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 42.8%
Remaining SOS
28.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Towson | L 21-29 | −5.8 | +1.9 | 0.191 | 3 | −10.5 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-9 | −0.2 | −1.9 | 0.227 | 3 | +11.2 |
| 6 | vs Norfolk State | L 21-24 | −9.8 | −1.9 | 0.080 | 4 | −11.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Carolina Central · p 0.391
- Wk 8: at Delaware · p 0.634
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.209
- Wk 10: at Stony Brook · p 0.144
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.157
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.162
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-10