Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−10.9 pts · likely #84–127
Strength of schedule
37.3
#25 of 130
Strength of victory
2.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 38.2%
Remaining SOS
18.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +18.6 | +1.9 | 0.782 | 1 | −14.3 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +10.1 | +1.9 | 0.581 | 1 | −21.6 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −11.3 | +1.9 | 0.106 | 3 | −18.8 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −18.9 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.427
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.183
- Wk 9: at Butler · p 0.212
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.053
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.090
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.124
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14