Montana State
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#8
+11.5 pts · likely #4–39
Strength of schedule
20.9
#110 of 130
Strength of victory
20.9
#33
Record SOS
0.395
Opp. 23.3% · Opp. opp. 71.9%
Remaining SOS
41.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −5.1 | −1.9 | 0.139 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −9.7 | −1.9 | 0.082 | 4 | +22.2 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −1.0 | +1.9 | 0.290 | 2 | +4.9 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +7.6 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Northern Colorado · p 0.207
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.508
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.246
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.167
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.590
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.508
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.500
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.604
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68