Marist
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−11.0 pts · likely #91–127
Strength of schedule
17.5
#121 of 130
Strength of victory
15.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.399
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 53.1%
Remaining SOS
11.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Georgetown | L 12-43 | −15.5 | −1.9 | 0.037 | 4 | −43.7 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | L 3-38 | +5.5 | −1.9 | 0.359 | 2 | −28.3 |
| 4 | at Drake | W 30-25 | −13.7 | +1.9 | 0.079 | 4 | −7.0 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 24-38 | −2.9 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Dayton · p 0.055
- Wk 8: at Butler · p 0.212
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.025
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.100
- Wk 11: vs Valparaiso · p 0.183
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.125