Columbia
Ivy · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#20
+8.5 pts · likely #7–55
Strength of schedule
19.9
#114 of 130
Strength of victory
13.1
#47
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 42.5% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
30.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Columbia. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Marist | W 38-3 | −10.1 | +1.9 | 0.121 | 3 | +25.9 |
| 4 | at Georgetown | W 42-6 | −7.8 | +1.9 | 0.156 | 3 | +26.0 |
| 5 | vs Princeton | L 6-24 | +7.3 | −1.9 | 0.404 | 2 | −8.9 |
| 6 | vs Wagner | W 28-7 | −6.8 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Penn · p 0.494
- Wk 8: vs Dartmouth · p 0.298
- Wk 9: vs Yale · p 0.304
- Wk 10: at Harvard · p 0.370
- Wk 11: at Brown · p 0.197
- Wk 12: vs Cornell · p 0.142