Valparaiso
Pioneer · 4-6 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−7.1 pts · likely #73–117
Strength of schedule
17.1
#127 of 130
Strength of victory
8.5
#100
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +1.3 | +1.9 | 0.347 | 2 | −5.5 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | +0.5 | +1.9 | 0.328 | 2 | −18.6 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −2.4 | −1.9 | 0.183 | 3 | +3.6 |
| 6 | at Presbyterian | W 41-21 | −24.7 | +1.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17