Dayton
Pioneer · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#80
−3.4 pts · likely #56–105
Strength of schedule
13.2
#130 of 130
Strength of victory
6.0
#102
Record SOS
0.373
Opp. 33.0% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
7-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −20.3 | +1.9 | 0.032 | 4 | −14.0 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +3.1 | +1.9 | 0.392 | 2 | −27.2 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −9.0 | −1.9 | 0.089 | 4 | +4.4 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −4.8 | +1.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3