William & Mary
CAA · 9-1 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 4.9% of the time
Power
#11
+13.0 pts · likely #4–27
Strength of schedule
37.8
#21 of 130
Strength of victory
36.3
#4
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
55.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +7.2 | −1.8 | 0.404 | 2 | +20.2 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −5.4 | +1.8 | 0.197 | 3 | +22.6 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +11.2 | −1.8 | 0.511 | 1 | +4.8 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −8.7 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.387
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.717
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24