Elon
CAA · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#19
+10.6 pts · likely #7–38
Strength of schedule
41.9
#5 of 130
Strength of victory
40.0
#1
Record SOS
0.616
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
60.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Wofford | W 26-0 | −4.4 | +1.8 | 0.215 | 3 | +22.5 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 30-24 | +6.4 | −1.8 | 0.383 | 2 | +11.4 |
| 4 | at William & Mary | W 35-31 | +14.8 | +1.8 | 0.699 | 1 | +18.8 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | W 30-27 OT | +13.4 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Furman · p 0.609
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 31-42