Valparaiso
Pioneer · 4-6 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#103
−7.1 pts · likely #74–117
Strength of schedule
17.4
#127 of 130
Strength of victory
8.8
#100
Record SOS
0.425
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +1.4 | +1.8 | 0.346 | 2 | −5.5 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | +0.5 | +1.8 | 0.325 | 2 | −18.7 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −2.1 | −1.8 | 0.191 | 3 | +4.0 |
| 6 | at Presbyterian | W 41-21 | −24.4 | +1.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17